CMPE 107: Mathematical Methods of Systems Analysis: Stochastic
6pm-7:45pm, Tuesday and Thursday
Baskin Engineering, Rm 152
Professor Sylvan's Office hours: Thursdays, 4:15-class, 227 Stevenson, x9-2065
Sections: Tuesday 12:30pm-1:30p and Wednesday 4pm-5pm, Baskin Engineering wipeboards.
Office hours by appointment.
Class Newsgroup: ucsc.class.cmpe107
Another source of info: Chris Reyes's class web page
Final Notes:
The exam will be out of 100 points. Problems 8,9,10 will be worth
less than average. Do problems 15,18, and 24 last. I will
make these worth less because they are on material that was only
covered briefly. I will try to make these problems extra credit, but
do your best on them. (Also do 16 towards the end!)
Before you turn in your exam, please take the time to rewrite your
solutions neatly, showing all of your work. Turn this in with your
answer sheet on top. If you get a problem wrong, I will only be able to
give you partial credit if I can figure out (easily) what you are
doing. Thanks!
Ok here's the full point breakdown (problem:points). "ec" means extra
credit: 1:5, 2:5, 3:8, 4:5, 5:5, 6:5, 7:5, 8:3, 9:3, 10:3, 11:5,
12:5, 13:4, 14:5, 15:3, 16:3, 17:3, 18:(ec=5), 19:3, 20:4, 21:5, 22:5,
23:3, 24:(ec=5), 25:5
Corrections, Addendums:
- See 2e below. I added another clarifying statement....
- Problem 3a is stated incorrectly and I think it's too late to fix
it now. So I'm throwing it out. That means you get two free points
for this problem (part a only!)
- Problem 15e: The "traffic intensity" is what you know as the load.
- Problem 2e rephrased: "If spinning the wheel is a game and if X
is the amount of money you can win (i.e. $2,$3,$6,$4.50) when you spin
the wheel, what is the most you would you pay to play this game, AND
still expect to break even in the long run?" <-- I added this to
clarify the problem even more.
- In problem 6c "it" refers to the earthquake. i.e. "What is the
probability that the earthquake will occur tomorrow given that it
won't happen before tomorrow (i.e today)." Assume that time 0 is
midnight and is the reference time for the problem, i.e. "now".
- The hint at the end of problem 1 should be: "Use the algebra of sets".
- In problem 3, you can read "probability law" as "probability
model" or "probability distribution function". Also, "Give the
formula..." should read "Give the function...". For full credit, on
each part, give the name of the distribution, the general,
parameterized form of the distribution function, and finally the
values of the parameters as specified by the problem.
- In problem 6, "modeled to be random between 0 and 120 hours"
should read "modeled to be a uniform random variable between 0 and 120
hours".
- In problem 10, just calculate the answer 1 way -- the easiest way.
- In problem 25, "Pm(-2) = 0.4" should be "Pm(-2) = 0.3".
Announcements
- Last hwk graded I have the last homework. If you want it before tuesday, come see me. I'm in the basement, room 57 until about 4pm.
- Extra Hw:It seems that the extra problems I tried to put up don't exist. It's too late to put up anything now. Sorry about that.
- Last hwk gradedThe last homework has been
graded (I think the reader just checked to see if you did it)--I'll
put it in the hw box around noon today. (December 3rd).
- Course anouncement: Here's a link to a course annoucement for ENGR 156.
- Extra problems: I put up the solutions to four more problems that I think may be useful. See the solution list below.
- Last Assignment: This is the last assignment which is due on Tuesday, November 27th: 7.1.2, 7.4.1, 7.4.2, 7.5.1, 7.6.1, 8.1.1 (parts a and b only), 6.5.1, 6.5.2, 6.5.3
- Review Session: A review session will be held Monday, November 26th from 5-6 pm in the Baskin wipeboard area. This will be the last section.
- Final Exam info: A take home final will be handed out on Tuesday, November 27th and will be collected on Tuesday, December 4th at 7:30 pm in the Baskin wipeboard area.
- Last Homework: All remaining homework that has been assigned will be due on Tuesday, November 27 in class.
- Grading Breakdown: Professor Sylvan has indicated that the following grading breakdown will be used: Homework 20%, Midterm 35%, Final 45%.
- A Midterm Solution key is here. Come see me if you think there is an error in your score or in the grading.
- Midterm Graded and passed back in class 11/6. I'll get more up to date info on the mean and distribution to the professor soon.
- A Review Session will be held on Sunday October 28th at 5pm, BE wipeboard area.
- Section Time for Wednesday October 31st will be changed to Monday October 29th from 5-6pm (since the midterm is on the 30th).
- A Mideterm is scheduled for Tuesday, October 30th.
The exam will be in class and will be closed book and notes.
- Homework Policy: Homework is due on Thursdays at the START of class.
It must be stapled together into one bundle per student.
Homework will not be accepted under any other conditions.
- No Section on Tuesday, October 2.
Section will be held wednesday from 3pm to 5pm instead.
- No Class on Thursday, September 27.
Homework Assignments
- Last Assignment: This is the last assignment which is due on Tuesday, November 27th: 7.1.2, 7.4.1, 7.4.2, 7.5.1, 7.6.1, 8.1.1 (parts a and b only), 6.5.1, 6.5.2, 6.5.3
see Chris's web page
for current homework assignments.
Homework Solutions
Aaron Solomon
Last modified: Mon Dec 3 16:15:48 PST 2001